posted on 2021-09-22, 12:57authored byMark J Rutherford, Melina Arnold, Aude Bardot, Jacques Ferlay, Prithwish De, Hannah Tervonen, Alana Little, Oliver Bucher, Nathalie St Jacques, Anna Gavin, Gerda Engholm, Bjørn Møller, Dianne L O'Connell, Neil Merrett, Donald Maxwell Parkin, Freddie Bray, Isabelle Soerjomataram
International comparison of liver cancer survival has been hampered due to varying standards and degrees for morphological verification and differences in coding practices. This article aims to compare liver cancer survival across the International Cancer Benchmarking Partnership's (ICBP) jurisdictions whilst trying to ensure that the estimates are comparable through a range of sensitivity analyses. Liver cancer incidence data from 21 jurisdictions in 7 countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, Ireland, New Zealand, Norway and the United Kingdom) were obtained from population-based registries for 1995-2014. Cases were categorised based on histological classification, age-groups, basis of diagnosis and calendar period. Age-standardised incidence rate (ASR) per 100 000 and net survival at 1 and 3 years after diagnosis were estimated. Liver cancer incidence rates increased over time across all ICBP jurisdictions, particularly for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with the largest relative increase in the United Kingdom, increasing from 1.3 to 4.4 per 100 000 person-years between 1995 and 2014. Australia had the highest age-standardised 1-year and 3-year net survival for all liver cancers combined (48.7% and 28.1%, respectively) in the most recent calendar period, which was still true for morphologically verified tumours when making restrictions to ensure consistent coding and classification. Survival from liver cancers is poor in all countries. The incidence of HCC is increasing alongside the proportion of nonmicroscopically verified cases over time. Survival estimates for all liver tumours combined should be interpreted in this context. Care is needed to ensure that international comparisons are performed on appropriately comparable patients, with careful consideration of coding practice variations.
Funding
Canadian Partnership Against Cancer
Cancer Council Victoria
Cancer Institute New South Wales
Cancer Research UK
DG Health and Social Care, Scottish Government
Kræftens Bekæmpelse
Kreftforeningen
National Cancer Registry Ireland
NHS England
Public Health Agency Northern Ireland on behalf of the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry
Public Health Wales NHS Trust
The Cancer Society of New Zealand
Western Australia Department of Health
History
Citation
International Journal of Cancer, 2021, https://doi.org/10.1002/ijc.33767
Author affiliation
Biostatistics Research Group, University of Leicester