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Computationally efficient inference in large Bayesian mixed frequency VARs

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journal contribution
posted on 2020-05-26, 10:54 authored by Deborah Gefang, Gary Koop, Aubrey Poon
<div><div><div><p>Mixed frequency Vector Autoregressions (MF-VARs) can be used to provide timely and high frequency estimates or nowcasts of variables for which data is available at a low frequency. Bayesian methods are commonly used with MF-VARs to overcome over-parameterization concerns. But Bayesian methods typically rely on computationally demanding Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. In this paper, we develop Variational Bayes (VB) methods for use with MF-VARs using Dirichlet–Laplace global–local shrinkage priors. We show that these methods are accurate and computationally much more efficient than MCMC in two empirical applications involving large MF-VARs.</p></div></div></div><ul></ul>

Funding

This research has been funded by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) as part of the research programme of the Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).

History

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Citation

Economics Letters Volume 191, June 2020, 109120

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Published in

Economics Letters

Volume

191

Pagination

109120

Publisher

Elsevier BV

issn

0165-1765

Acceptance date

2020-03-25

Copyright date

2020

Notes

The Online Appendix for this paper is available at https://sites.google.com/site/garykoop/.

Language

en

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