posted on 2016-07-20, 13:30authored byMichael Dambacher, Peter Haffke, Daniel Groß, Ronald Hübner
In lottery gambling, the common phenomenon of risk aversion shows up a
s preference of the option with the higher win
probability, even if a riskier alternative offers a greater expected value
. Because riskier choices would optimize profitability
in such cases, the present study investigates the visual format, with which
lotteries are conveyed, as potential instrument to
modulate risk attitudes. Previous research has shown that enhanced atte
ntion to graphical compared to numerical
probabilities
can increase risk aversion, but evidence for the reverse effect — r
educed risk aversion through a graphical display of
outcomes
— is sparse. We conducted three experiments, in which participants repea
tedly selected one of two lotteries. Probabilities and
outcomes were either presented numerically or in a graphical format tha
t consisted of pie charts (Experiment 1) or icon arrays
(Experiment 2 and 3). Further, expected values were either higher in th
e safer or in the riskier lottery, or they did not differ
between the options. Despite a marked risk aversion in all experiments, ou
r results show that presenting outcomes as graphs
can reduce — albeit not eliminate — risk aversion (Experiment 3). Yet, no
t all formats prove suitable, and non-intuitive
outcome graphs can even enhance risk aversion (Experiment 1). Jo
int analyses of choice proportions and response times
(RTs) further uncovered that risk aversion leads to safe choices par
ticularly in fast decisions. This pattern is expressed under
graphical probabilities, whereas graphical outcomes can weaken the r
apid dominance of risk aversion and the variability over
RTs (Experiment 1 and 2). Together, our findings demonstrate the rele
vance of information format for risky decisions.
Keywords: lottery gambling; information format; risk aversion; condition
al choice functions (CCFs).
History
Citation
Judgment and Decision Making, 2016, 11 (3), pp. 223-242
Author affiliation
/Organisation/COLLEGE OF MEDICINE, BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES AND PSYCHOLOGY/MBSP Non-Medical Departments/Neuroscience, Psychology and Behaviour