University of Leicester
Browse

How risky is it to visit a supermarket during the pandemic?

Download (2.64 MB)
journal contribution
posted on 2022-03-07, 11:19 authored by AA Tsukanov, AM Senjkevich, MV Fedorov, NV Brilliantov
We performed large-scale numerical simulations using a composite model to investigate the infection spread in a supermarket during a pandemic. The model is composed of the social force, purchasing strategy and infection transmission models. Specifically, we quantified the infection risk for customers while in a supermarket that depended on the number of customers, the purchase strategies and the physical layout of the supermarket. The ratio of new infections compared to sales efficiency (earned profit for customer purchases) was computed as a factor of customer density and social distance. Our results indicate that the social distance between customers is the primary factor influencing infection rate. Supermarket layout and purchasing strategy do not impact social distance and hence the spread of infection. Moreover, we found only a weak dependence of sales efficiency and customer density. We believe that our study will help to establish scientifically-based safety rules that will reduce the social price of supermarket business.

History

Citation

Tsukanov AA, SenjkevichAM, FedorovMV, BrilliantovNV (2021)How risky is it to visit asupermarket duringthe pandemic?PLoSONE16(7):e0253835.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0253835

Author affiliation

Department of Mathematics

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Published in

PLoS ONE

Volume

16

Issue

7 July

Pagination

e0253835

Publisher

Public Library of Science

issn

1932-6203

eissn

1932-6203

Acceptance date

2021-06-15

Copyright date

2021

Available date

2021-07-01

Spatial coverage

United States

Language

eng

Usage metrics

    University of Leicester Publications

    Categories

    No categories selected

    Licence

    Exports

    RefWorks
    BibTeX
    Ref. manager
    Endnote
    DataCite
    NLM
    DC