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Large deviation results for random walks conditioned to stay positive

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posted on 2015-07-13, 10:16 authored by R. A. Doney, Elinor Mair Jones
Let X1,X2,... denote independent, identically distributed random variables with common distribution F, and S the corresponding random walk with ρ:=lim[subscript: n→∞]P( S[subscript: n] > 0 ) and τ :=inf{n≥1:S[subscript: n]≤0}. We assume that X is in the domain of attraction of an α-stable law, and that P(X∈[x,x+Δ)) is regularly varying at infinity, for fixed Δ>0. Under these conditions, we find an estimate for P(S[subscript: n]∈[x,x+Δ)|τ>n), which holds uniformly as x/cn→∞, for a specified norming sequence c[subscript: n]. This result is of particular interest as it is related to the bivariate ladder height process ((T[subscript: n],H[subscript: n]),n≥0), where T[subscript: r] is the rth strict increasing ladder time, and H[subscript: r]=ST[subscript: r] the corresponding ladder height. The bivariate renewal mass function g(n,dx)=∑∞[subscript: r=0]P(T[subscript: r]=n,H[subscript: r]∈dx) can then be written as g(n,dx)=P(S[subscript: n]∈dx|τ>n)P(τ>n), and since the behaviour of P(τ>n) is known for asymptotically stable random walks, our results can be rephrased as large deviation estimates of g(n,[x,x+Δ)).

History

Citation

Electronic Communications in Probability, 2012, 17 : 38

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Published in

Electronic Communications in Probability

Publisher

Institute of Mathematical Statistics with Bernoulli Society for Mathematical Statistics and Probability

issn

1083-589X

Copyright date

2012

Available date

2015-07-13

Publisher version

http://ecp.ejpecp.org/article/view/2282

Language

en

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