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New Labour? The effects of migration from Central and Eastern Europe on unemployment and wages in the UK

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journal contribution
posted on 2014-12-11, 16:04 authored by Sara Lemos, Jonathan Portes
The UK was one of only three countries that granted free movement of workers to accession nationals following the enlargement of the European Union in May 2004. The resulting migration inflow, which was substantially larger and faster than anticipated, arguably corresponds more closely to an exogenous supply shock than most migration shocks studied in the literature. We evaluate the impact of this migration inflow – one of the largest in British history – on the UK labour market. We use new monthly micro-level data and an empirical approach that investigates which of several particular labour markets in the UK – with varying degrees of natives’ mobility and migrants’ self-selection – may have been affected. We found little evidence that the inflow of accession migrants contributed to a fall in wages or a rise in claimant unemployment in the UK between 2004 and 2006.

History

Citation

BE Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy, 2014, 14 (1), pp. 299-338

Author affiliation

/Organisation/COLLEGE OF SOCIAL SCIENCE/Department of Economics

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Published in

BE Journal of Economic Analysis and Policy

Publisher

De Gruyter

issn

2194-6108

eissn

1935-1682

Copyright date

2014

Available date

2014-12-11

Publisher version

http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/bejeap.2014.14.issue-1/bejeap-2013-0065/bejeap-2013-0065.xml

Language

en

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