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New insights into the polar ozone and water vapor, radiative effects, and their connection to the tides in the mesosphere–lower thermosphere during major sudden stratospheric warming events

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posted on 2025-09-26, 15:28 authored by Guochun Shi, Hanli Liu, Masaki Tsutsumi, Njål Gulbrandsen, Alexander Kozlovsky, Dimitry Pokhotelov, Mark LesterMark Lester, Christoph Jacobi, Kun Wu, Gunter Stober
<p dir="ltr">We examine the variability of diurnal tide (DT), semidiurnal tide (SDT), and terdiurnal tide (TDT) amplitudes in the Arctic mesosphere and lower thermosphere (MLT) during and after sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) events using meteor radar data at three polar-latitude stations, Sodankylä (67.37° N, 26.63° E), Tromsø (69.58° N, 19.22° E), and Svalbard (78.99° N, 15.99° E), as well as one station outside the polar vortex located at Collm (51.3° N, 13° E). By combining tidal amplitude anomalies with trace gas variations, induced by large-scale dynamical changes caused by the breaking of planetary waves, this study provides new observational insights into the variation of ozone and water vapor, transport, and tides at polar latitudes. We use short-wave (QRS) and long-wave (QRL) radiative heating and cooling rates simulated by the WACCM-X(SD) model to investigate the roles of polar ozone and water vapor in driving mesospheric tidal variability during SSWs in the polar regions. Our analysis reveals distinct tidal responses during SSW events. At the onset of SSWs, a significant negative anomaly in TDT amplitudes in zonal and meridional components is observed, with a decrease of 3 m s−1, approximately 25 % change compared to the mean TDT amplitude. Meanwhile, SDT shows a positive anomaly of 10 m s−1, with changes reaching up to 40 %, indicating an enhancement of tidal amplitude in both components. The DT amplitude exhibits a delayed enhancement, with a positive amplitude anomaly of up to 5 m s−1 in the meridional wind component, occurring approximately 20 d after the onset of SSWs. A similar but weaker effect is observed in the zonal wind component, with changes reaching up to 30 % in the zonal component and 50 % in the meridional wind component. We analyzed the contributions of ozone and water vapor to the short-wave heating and long-wave cooling before, during, and after the onset of SSW events. Our findings suggest that the immediate responses of SDT are most likely driven by dynamical effects accompanied by the radiative effects from ozone. Radiative forcing change during SSW likely plays a secondary role in DT changes but appears to be important 20 d after the event, particularly during the spring transition. Water vapor acts as a dynamical tracer in the stratosphere and mesosphere but has minimal radiative forcing, resulting in a negligible impact on tidal changes. This study presents the first comprehensive analysis of mesospheric tidal variability in polar regions during sudden stratospheric warmings (SSWs), examining and linking the significant role of trace gases and radiative effects in modulating tidal dynamics.</p>

Funding

Swiss National Science Foundation (grant no. 200021-200517/1)

A Consolidated Grant Proposal for Solar and Planetary Science at the University of Leicester, 2022 - 2025

Science and Technology Facilities Council

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This research employed data from instruments supported by the Research Council of Norway under the project Svalbard Integrated Arctic Earth Observing System–Infrastructure Development of the Norwegian node (SIOS-InfraNor, project no. 269927). The operation of MIAWARA-C and GROMOS-C is supported by AWIPEV under grant AWIPEV_0023

History

Author affiliation

College of Science & Engineering Physics & Astronomy

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Published in

Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics

Volume

25

Issue

16

Pagination

9403 - 9430

Publisher

Copernicus GmbH

issn

1680-7316

eissn

1680-7324

Copyright date

2025

Available date

2025-09-26

Language

en

Deposited by

Professor Mark Lester

Deposit date

2025-09-13

Data Access Statement

MLS v5 data are available from the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center Earth Sciences Data and Information Services Center (GES DISC): https://doi.org/10.5067/Aura/MLS/DATA2516 (Schwartz et al., 2020). The MR data can be obtained upon request from the instrument PIs. The 3 h WACCM-X simulation output is archived on NCAR's archive repository and can be obtained upon request from Guochun Shi. The GROMOS-C and MIAWARA-C level 2 data are provided by the Network for the Detection of Atmospheric Composition Change and are available at https://www-air.larc.nasa.gov/pub/NDACC/PUBLIC/meta/mwave/ (University of Bern, last access: 19 August 2025). The Sudden Stratospheric Warming Compendium dataset (Butler et al., 2017) is available from NOAA CSL (https://csl.noaa.gov/groups/csl8/sswcompendium/majorevents.html, last access: 26 August 2025).

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