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On the effects of changing mortality patterns on investment, labour and consumption under uncertainty

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posted on 2017-02-02, 09:56 authored by Christian-Oliver Ewald, Aihua Zhang
In this paper we extend the consumption-investment life cycle model for an uncertain-lived agent, proposed by Richard (1974), to allow for flexible labor supply. We further study the consumption, labor supply and portfolio decisions of an agent facing age-dependent mortality risk, as presented by UK actuarial life tables spanning the time period from 1951-2060 (including mortality forecasts). We find that historical changes in mortality produces significant changes in portfolio investment (more risk taking), labour (de- crease of hours) and consumption level (shift to higher level) contributing up to 5% to GDP growth during the period from 1980 until 2010.

History

Citation

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2017, 73, pp. 105–115

Author affiliation

/Organisation/COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING/Department of Mathematics

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Published in

Insurance: Mathematics and Economics

Publisher

Elsevier

issn

0167-6687

Acceptance date

2017-01-24

Available date

2018-08-08

Notes

JEL Subject Classi cation: G11; J11; J22; C61; 18 months embargo from publication;The file associated with this record is under embargo until 18 months after publication, in accordance with the publisher's self-archiving policy. The full text may be available through the publisher links provided above.

Language

en

Publisher version

http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167668716303997

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