posted on 2025-10-28, 15:51authored byKathrine Kold Sørensen, Puriya Daniel Würtz Yazdanfard, Bochra Zareini, Ulrik Pedersen-Bjergaard, Vanja Kosjerina, Mikkel Porsborg Andersen, Anders Munch, Johan Sebastian Ohlendorff, Stefanie Schmid, Stefanie Lanzinger, Pratik ChoudharyPratik Choudhary, Clare Gillies, Safoora Gharibzadeh, Marcus Lind, Viktor Tasselius, Jens Michelsen, Thomas Alexander Gerds, Christian Torp-Pedersen
<h4>Background</h4>Cardiovascular outcome trials have shown that glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP1-RAs) reduce cardiovascular event rates more effectively than placebo and in patients with type 2 diabetes at increased cardiovascular risk. However, the generalizability of these findings to real-world settings remains uncertain.<h4>Aim</h4>This study aimed to evaluate the real-world cardiovascular effectiveness of sustained GLP1-RA use compared to dipeptidyl peptidase 4 inhibitor (DPP-4i) over 3.5 years.<h4>Methods</h4>Using Danish nationwide registries, we emulated a target trial to assess the real-world effectiveness of GLP1-RAs in a population of individuals with type 2 diabetes mirroring the inclusion and exclusion criteria from the Liraglutide Effect and Action in Diabetes: Evaluation of Cardiovascular Outcome Results (LEADER) trial. The study period was 2012-2022. Outcomes included the composite of myocardial infarction, stroke, and cardiovascular mortality (3P-MACE), as well as each component individually, alongside all-cause mortality, heart failure, angina pectoris, and revascularization. Longitudinal Targeted Minimum Loss-based Estimation, a method that adjusts for both baseline and time-varying confounding, was used to estimate absolute risks of cardiovascular outcomes under sustained use of GLP1-RA and DPP 4i (active comparator), adjusting for baseline and time-varying confounding.<h4>Results</h4>We included 6,681 people initiating GLP1-RA and 19,072 initiating DPP-4i. Accounting for baseline and time-varying confounding, sustained GLP1-RA use showed a 2.5% (95% CI 0.8-4.1%) risk reduction of 3P-MACEover 3.5 years. Risk reductions for cardiovascular mortality, all-cause mortality, heart failure, and unstable angina pectoris were 2.3% (95% CI 1.4-3.1%), 2.5% (95% CI 0.7-4.3%), 0.9% (95% CI 0.01-1.8%), and 0.7% (95% CI 0.01-1.3%), respectively. No significant differences were observed for myocardial infarction, stroke, or revascularization with risk differences of 0.1% (95% CI -1.0 to 0.8%), 0.8% (95% CI -0.2 to 1.7%), and 0.2% (95% CI -0.7-1.1%), respectively.<h4>Conclusions</h4>This real-world study confirms the cardiovascular benefits of GLP1-RAs over DPP-4is, particularly for reducing cardiovascular and all-cause mortality under continuous treatment exposure in patients with type 2 diabetes at increased cardiovascular risk.<p></p>
History
Author affiliation
University of Leicester
College of Life Sciences
Medical Sciences
The data supporting the findings of this study are stored on secure servers at Statistics Denmark and cannot be shared publicly due to Danish legislation. However, access to the data may be granted for research purposes in collaboration with the corresponding author and subject to approval by Statistics Denmark.