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Role of regional wetland emissions in atmospheric methane variability

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journal contribution
posted on 2016-11-11, 17:16 authored by J. McNorton, E. Gloor, C. Wilson, G. D. Hayman, N. Gedney, E. Comyn-Platt, T. Marthews, R. J. Parker, H. Boesch, M. P. Chipperfield
Atmospheric methane (CH4) accounts for ~20% of the total direct anthropogenic radiative forcing by long-lived greenhouse gases. Surface observations show a pause (1999-2006) followed by a resumption in CH4 growth, which remain largely unexplained. Using a land surface model, we estimate wetland CH4 emissions from 1993 to 2014 and study the regional contributions to changes in atmospheric CH4. Atmospheric model simulations using these emissions, together with other sources, compare well with surface and satellite CH4 data. Modelled global wetland emissions vary by ±3%/yr (σ = 4.8 Tg), mainly due to precipitation-induced changes in wetland area, but the integrated effect makes only a small contribution to the pause in CH4 growth from 1999 to 2006. Increasing temperature, which increases wetland area, drives a long-term trend in wetland CH4 emissions of +0.2%/yr (1999 to 2014). The increased growth post-2006 was partly caused by increased wetland emissions (+3%), mainly from Tropical Asia, Sourthern Africa and Australia.

Funding

JM thanks NERC National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO) for a studentship. CW, MPC and MG acknowledge support from NERC grants GAUGE (NE/K002244/1) and AMAZONICA (NE/F005806/1) and MOYA (NE/N015657/1). GDH acknowledges support from the European Space Agency through its Support to Science Element initiative (ALANIS Methane), NCEO, and the NERC grants (MAMM, NE/I028327/1 and Tropical African Wetlands, NE/I01277X/2). RJP is funded via an ESA Living Planet Fellowship with additional funding from NCEO. RP and HB acknowledge support from the ESA Greenhouse Gas Climate Change Initiative (GHG-CCI) and the NERC GAUGE and Amazonian Carbon © 2016 American Geophysical Union. All rights reserved. Observatory Project. NG was supported by the Joint UK DECC/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme (GA01101). We thank the Japanese Aerospace Exploration Agency, National Institute for Environmental Studies, and the Ministry of Environment for the GOSAT data and their continued support as part of the Joint Research Agreement. We thank Anthony Bloom for supplying wetland CH4 emissions. This research used the ALICE High Performance Computing Facility at U. Leicester and the Arc1 facility at U. Leeds. TCCON data were obtained from the TCCON Data Archive, hosted by the Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center (CDIAC) (tccon.onrl.gov). NOAA atmospheric CH4 dry air mole fractions were obtained from the NOAA ESRL GMD Carbon Cycle Cooperative Global Air Sampling Network (esrl.noaa.gov).

History

Citation

Geophysical Research Letters, 2016 in press

Author affiliation

/Organisation/COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING/Department of Physics and Astronomy

Version

  • AM (Accepted Manuscript)

Published in

Geophysical Research Letters

Publisher

American Geophysical Union (AGU), Wiley

issn

0094-8276

eissn

1944-8007

Acceptance date

2016-10-15

Available date

2016-11-11

Publisher version

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016GL070649/abstract

Notes

All model data used in this study are available through the University of Leeds ftp server, for access please contact j.r.mcnorton@leeds.ac.uk.

Language

en

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