Scoping Potential Routes to UK Civil Unrest via the Food System: Results of a Structured Expert Elicitation

S.B. (Sarah Bridle) and A.J. (Aled Jones) are funded by an APEX Award from the British Academy, the Royal Academy of Engineering and the Royal Society AA21\100154 for “How to feed the UK amid catastrophic food system disruption”. T.B., S.B. (Sarah Bridle), A.S.B. and N.W., are grateful for funding from the AFN Network+ (UKRI Agri-food for Net Zero Network+) Grant Award EP/X011062/1. Alexandra Johnstone acknowledges funding from the Transforming the UK Food System for Healthy People and a Healthy Environment SPF Programme, delivered by UKRI, in partnership with the Global Food Security Programme, BBSRC, ESRC, MRC, NERC, Defra, DHSC, OHID, Innovate UK and FSA. Grant Award BB/W018020/1, for FIO Food: Food Insecurity in people living with Obesity—improving sustainable and healthier food choices in the retail food environment. S.B. (Sarah Bridle) and K.D. acknowledge funding from the same above: the Transforming the UK Food System for Healthy People and a Healthy Environment SPF Programme. Grant award FixOurFood programme (BB/V004581/1). P.F. was supported by the Met Office Food, Farming and Natural Environment Climate Service, funded by Defra and the Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme, funded by DSIT. Christian Reynolds was funded through Transforming the UK Food System for Healthy People and a Healthy Environment SPF Programme, Grant Award BB/V004719/1 Healthy soil, Healthy food, Healthy people (H3)