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Why We Need More Data before the Next Pandemic

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journal contribution
posted on 2022-09-02, 15:57 authored by N Gilbert, E Chattoe-Brown, C Watts, D Robertson
Attempts to control the current pandemic through public health interventions have been driven by predictions based on modelling, thus bringing epidemiological models to the forefront of policy and public interest. It is almost inevitable that there will be further pandemics and controlling, suppressing and ameliorating their effects will undoubtedly involve the use of models. However, the accuracy and usefulness of models are highly dependent on the data that are used to calibrate and validate them. In this article, we consider the data needed by the two main types of epidemiological modelling (compartmental and agent-based) and the adequacy of the currently available data sources. We conclude that at present the data for epidemiological modelling of pandemics is seriously deficient and we make suggestions about how it would need to be improved. Finally, we argue that it is important to initiate efforts to collect appropriate data for modelling now, rather than waiting for the next pandemic.

Funding

Economic and Social Research Council, Grant reference: ES/S007024/1.

History

Citation

Gilbert, N., Chattoe-Brown, E., Watts, C., & Robertson, D. (2021). Why We Need More Data before the Next Pandemic. Sociologica, 15(3), 125–143. https://doi.org/10.6092/issn.1971-8853/13221

Author affiliation

School of Media, Communication and Sociology

Version

  • VoR (Version of Record)

Published in

Sociologica

Volume

15

Issue

3

Pagination

125 - 143

eissn

1971-8853

Acceptance date

2021-12-13

Copyright date

2021

Available date

2022-09-02

Language

en

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