[First paragraphs] Much of the analysis about why the UK voted to leave the European Union in June 2016 has been done by looking at individual factors in isolation, or using opinion poll data from both before and after the vote.
In a new research paper, I applied two statistical analyses to the actual referendum voting data obtained from the Electoral Commission and the UK’s latest census data. I found that while voters’ level of higher education was the most important factor, the gender of voters and the turnout level also had parts to play in the victory for the Leave campaign.
History
Citation
The Conversation, 2017
Author affiliation
/Organisation/COLLEGE OF SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING/Department of Mathematics