posted on 2014-05-21, 10:48authored byMohammad Tahir
This study aimed to optimise the treatment of early breast cancer in
older patients. It tested the hypothesis that comprehensive geriatric
assessment (CGA) could be used to predict two-year survival in older
breast cancer patients. Based on the CGA scoring a treatment algorithm
was devised that could help in recommending whether primary
endocrine treatment (PET) or surgery plus endocrine treatment would
be best indicated in individual patients.
Methods: The study included women >70 years of age with early breast
cancer, seen in a dedicated Leicester clinic between 01/2005 and
04/2007. All patients had comprehensive assessment including
documentation of Satariano Index of Co-morbidities (SIC), Mini-Mental
State Examination (MMSE), Geriatric Depression Score (GDS), Activities
of Daily Living (ADL), Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL) and
American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) grade. Logistic
regression analysis explored any association between these components
and two-year survival. Components with positive association were
formulated into a Breast Cancer in Elderly Treatment Algorithm
(BCETA).
Results: 123 patients were included, age range 70-94 (median-82).
Twenty-two patients died within two years. Logistic regression analysis
found MMSE, ADL, and ASA score to have an independent association
with two-year survival. The scores of these components were
formulated into a BCETA. Logistic regression revealed a statistically
significant association between the BCETA score and two-year survival
(p-value 0.00). Other results for the BCETA prognostic model were:
sensitivity 89%, specificity 46%, positive predictive value 87%,
negative predictive value 52%, odds ratio 7.1 (95% CI 2.5-20.2), and
overall accuracy of 81%. C-statistic value (area under ROC curve) for
the BCETA score was 0.70.
Conclusion: Breast Cancer in Elderly Treatment Algorithm is a new
approach to optimise the management of breast cancer in elderly
patients. It can help in identifying high-risk patients with expected
short-survival who may benefit from PET, if their cancer is hormone
receptor positive. Patients with predicted longer life expectancy (lowrisk)
may be recommended standard treatment. Further studies are
needed to validate it in a larger population.