Note that for model variants which only apply to the simulated intervention process, this section simply shows dynamics of persistence for the standard coordination model.
This plot shows the initial rate of FGM within the ‘dynamics of persistence’ simulations. Under the standard coordination model with normally distributed approval of FGM, values on the Y axis are either 1 or 0, since these are the only stable rates of FGM.
This plot shows a smoothed kernel density estimate of the distribution of rates of FGM that occured in the ‘dynamics of persistence’ simulations. Under the standard coordination model with normally distributed approval of FGM, the distribution estimate is bi-modal, with modes at 0 and 1, reflecting the concentration of simulated rates of FGM at these values.
This table reports quantitative metrics which summarise the above plots. It reports: the mean rate of FGM in the ‘dynamics of persistence’ simulations, the proportion of final rates of FGM that were ‘interior’ (defined as above 10% and below 90%), and the maximum and minimum observed rates of FGM that occured in the simulation.
Average Rate (Over Uniform Initialisation): | 0.4949583 |
Proportion Interior Rates (> 10% and < 90%): | 0.0030303 |
Maximum Observed Rate: | 1.0000000 |
Minimum Observed Rate: | 0.0000000 |
Pearsons Cor. Initial and Final: | 0.8601270 |
Both of the following plots display summaries of the following aspects of the simulated intervention experiments:
The two plots differ in the meaning of the size of points.
This table shows quantitative summaries of the results of the simulated interventions:
Proportion of interventions with positive spillovers: | 0.5954545 |
Proportion of interventions with negative efficiencies: | 0.2890909 |
Average Reduction in FGM rate: | 0.6498852 |
Average Absolute Spillover: | 0.0998852 |
Average Coalition Size (Absolute): | 392.4090909 |
Average Coalition Size (As proportion of population): | 0.4905114 |
Average Coalition Size (As porportion of those targeted): | 0.7544759 |
Prop. Coalition Collapse | 0.2454545 |
These results are based on preferentially targeting agents who are reluctant to abandon FGM (they attribute a low intrinsic cost to the practice).
Proportion of interventions with positive spillovers: | 0.6136364 |
Proportion of interventions with negative efficiencies: | 0.2554545 |
Average Reduction in FGM rate: | 0.6668148 |
Average Absolute Spillover: | 0.1168148 |
Average Coalition Size (Absolute): | 405.3254545 |
Average Coalition Size (As proportion of population): | 0.5066568 |
Average Coalition Size (As porportion of those targeted): | 0.8043810 |
Prop. Coalition Collapse | 0.1954545 |
These results are based on preferentially targeting agents who are more willing to abandon FGM (they attribute a high intrinsic cost to the practice).
Proportion of interventions with positive spillovers: | 0.5318182 |
Proportion of interventions with negative efficiencies: | 0.2990909 |
Average Reduction in FGM rate: | 0.6324545 |
Average Absolute Spillover: | 0.0824545 |
Average Coalition Size (Absolute): | 393.6000000 |
Average Coalition Size (As proportion of population): | 0.4920000 |
Average Coalition Size (As porportion of those targeted): | 0.7609091 |
Prop. Coalition Collapse | 0.2390909 |