posted on 2017-01-16, 11:16authored byAnwar Hassan Ali Almualim
In this thesis we develop dynamic cooperative investment schemes in discrete and
continuous time. Instead of investing individually, several agents may invest joint
capital into a commonly agreed trading strategy, and then split the uncertain
outcome of the investment according to the pre-agreed scheme, based on their
individual risk-reward preferences. As a result of cooperation, each investor is able
to get a share, which cannot be replicated with the available market instruments,
and because of this, cooperative investment is usually strictly profitable for all
participants, when compared with an optimal individual strategy. We describe
cooperative investment strategies which are Pareto optimal, and then propose a
method to choose the most ‘fair’ Pareto optimal strategy based on equilibrium
theory. In some cases, uniqueness and stability for the equilibrium are justified.
We study a cooperative investment problem, for investors with different risk preferences,
coming from expected utility theory, mean-variance theory, mean-deviation
theory, prospect theory, etc. The developed strategies are time-consistent; that
is the group of investors have no reasons to change their mind in the middle of
the investment process. This is ensured by either using a dynamic programming
approach, by applying the utility model based on the compound independence
axiom.
For numerical experiments, we use a scenario generation algorithm and stochastic
programming model for generating appropriate scenario tree components of the
S&P 100 index. The algorithm uses historical data simulation as well as a GARCH
model.